The Big 200 Rankings
The Big 200 Rankings
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  • Rankings and Data
    • College Football
    • European Club Football
    • Men's College Basketball
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    • Home
    • Rankings and Data
      • College Football
      • European Club Football
      • Men's College Basketball
    • About
    • Archive
  • Home
  • Rankings and Data
    • College Football
    • European Club Football
    • Men's College Basketball
  • About
  • Archive

TEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONS

TEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONSTEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONSTEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONS

EUROPEAN CLUB FOOTBALL 

AMERICAN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

MORE TO COME









TEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONS

TEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONSTEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONSTEAM RATINGS INSIGHTS PREDICTIONS

EUROPEAN CLUB FOOTBALL 

AMERICAN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

MORE TO COME









Introduction

Brief Explainer

The Big 200 Rankings are an objective, data-driven rating system that accurately evaluates teams across leagues and competition levels. As the name suggests, the system was designed specifically to produce meaningful rankings involving 200+ teams, even with relatively small sample sizes in terms of the overall number games played.


In college football, for example, a given team typically plays 10-12 opponents, including no more than 3-5 opponents from outside its own conference, during the regular season. This means that most teams will face fewer than 10% of programs in the same subdivision or fewer than 5% of programs in the same division.


The Big 200 overcomes these limitations through an innovative series of algorithms that first compares scores (adjusted on the basis of "game control" and home-site advantage) across several degrees of separation, then produces a series of power ratings, automatically settling on the set with the highest retrodictive accuracy. The system then determines the final "merit" or "resume" ranking by judging teams based on the quality of wins and losses, with an emphasis on the power rating of each opponent.


Unlike many other systems that also value strength of schedule, the Big 200 does not reward teams for "good" losses to superior competition or punish them for "bad" wins over inferior opponents. The result is a substantive, unbiased ranking that can be used to decide qualification for tournaments, settle tie-breakers among teams with similar records, and maximize the number of correct predictions for future games.

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